Warren, Biden running neck and neck in Democratic primary: poll

Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.) and former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE are running neck and neck in the 2020 Democratic primary, a new Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday showed.

Twenty-nine percent of Democratic voters and independent voters who lean Democratic said they support Warren, while Biden received 26 percent support from the same group, a difference within the poll’s margin of error.

Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I-Vt.) came in third with 16 percent, while no other candidate broke double digits.


The three candidates had similar showings in a September Quinnipiac University poll, which saw Warren, Biden and Sanders at 27 percent, 25 percent and 16 percent, respectively.

“Warren maintains her strength in the Democratic primary, which has been consistently growing since the start of her campaign. This poll confirms her status as a co-frontrunner with Biden,” said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

Warren leads all other candidates in the poll among both male and female voters as well as white voters and voters with a college degree. Biden leads among black voters, voters without a college degree, and voters aged 65 years and older.

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Sanders continues to show strength among younger voters, reaching a 22-point edge among those aged 18 to 34. Sanders’s consistency in his overall support suggests that news he suffered a heart attack did not substantially impact his backing.

Tuesday’s survey matches similar polling that has signaled a cleavage within the primary field, with Warren, Biden and Sanders making up its top tier while relegating other high-profile candidates such as Sen. Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisRand Paul introduces bill to end no-knock warrants The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook McEnany says Juneteenth is a very ‘meaningful’ day to Trump MORE (D-Calif.) and South Bend, Ind. Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegScaled-back Pride Month poses challenges for fundraising, outreach Biden hopes to pick VP by Aug. 1 It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process MORE to its middle tier. 

Biden has maintained a narrowing lead over Warren and Sanders in most national and statewide polls, largely on the strength of his deep well of support among African Americans.

But Warren has surpassed Biden in recent weeks in a handful of surveys, with polls showing her slowly closing the gap among black voters. 

The Quinnipiac University poll surveyed 646 Democratic voters and independent voters who lean Democratic from Oct. 4 to Oct. 7 and has a margin of error of 4.7 percentage points.

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